Thought I would jump back in here as gold has been really heading up the past few days.
again, I am sticking to my guns and am happy to be out, and believe it is going to dump real soon....why?
first, look at a basic chart....

gold was between 300-400 for what seemed like forever (The trading markets for coins and such did not really exist back then)....then it started climbing....peaked at 700 then crashed again....the next major peak was (not too long ago) at 1,000...then it crashed again....then peaked again at 975 and a small crash...and now it is WAY up and looking to hit 1,100 soon.
If history is an indicater, at 1,100 or sooner, it is going to crash again.
sure....the dollar is not worth the paper it is printed on (The reason I got into gold in the first place several years ago), and even China is running away now from our paper....but look at the other factors that are effecting gold prices....every tom dick and harry small business is buying gold to melt it down in many cases, because there is such a hunger out there for it.
But the reason that so many people are hungry for it, is they are convinced that it is safer than the stock market. Well, the stock market is and has (quietly) turned around....yahoo news and other news sources (who I believe are dead wrong) are announcing the "recession is over" so even more people are going to get back into stocks. and this will result in a reaction of people selling gold to get capitol to reinvest. houses...land...just about every investment right now is CHEAP except gold, and when people start cashing in there gold to reinvest in these other sources, the price as a result of the sell off will start to drop, and just like a house of card...when people start to see the gold prices start to decline (what? price drop? the infomercials didn't say that could happen!), they are going to go crazy and start selling....SELL...SELL...SELL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! AND that is what will really cause the price to drop.
anyway...that's what I think...but I could be wrong (chuckle)
-Bob
